DeepMind and the 4 AGI regimes: wages move first, companies later

By FourWeekMBA · October 29, 2026.

We were unable to access the full text of the article, so we can only rely on the headline. According to FourWeekMBA, DeepMind describes four possible regimes of artificial general intelligence (AGI, systems capable of matching a human at almost any cognitive task). In them, wages move first and companies follow. We do not know what the four regimes are, what model DeepMind uses or what figures it works with, and we prefer not to invent them.

Our take is only an interpretation of the headline. If the sequence is as announced, it makes economic sense. The price of labor adjusts quickly, because all it takes is for an employer to be able to replace or complement tasks with software. Reorganizing a company, its processes and its culture takes years. This fits our thesis on employment: the short-term blow is real and uneven, and it hits people doing routine and administrative tasks before it hits the structure of organizations.

That is why the transition should be taken seriously, without catastrophism. In the long run, AI that makes goods and services cheaper and accelerates medicine points to an abundance that would let people work only on what they are passionate about. But that horizon alone does not offset the disruption of the early years. If wages fall before companies generate and distribute the new value, public policy and training matter a great deal.

When the details are published, what to look at is which assumptions underpin the regimes and whether the framework rests on data or only on theoretical scenarios.